Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.116900 0.129301 0.142028 0.156036 0.170994 0.186459 0.203629
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.099927 0.118936 0.139417 0.162998 0.189266 0.217503 0.250025
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.083975 0.106845 0.132583 0.163383 0.198925 0.238349 0.285078
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.069860 0.094719 0.123855 0.159961 0.202937 0.251907 0.311364
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.063291 0.090503 0.123480 0.165506 0.216752 0.276358 0.350048
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.057242 0.086093 0.122166 0.169326 0.228088 0.297681 0.385075
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.051613 0.081531 0.120073 0.171677 0.237268 0.316226 0.416773
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.046201 0.076648 0.117042 0.172387 0.244065 0.331675 0.444683
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045602 0.078279 0.122519 0.184080 0.264815 0.364487 0.494135
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041927 0.075143 0.121267 0.186689 0.273800 0.382646 0.525649
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039062 0.072905 0.121014 0.190453 0.284183 0.402563 0.559468
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035150 0.068707 0.117687 0.189758 0.288504 0.414671 0.583484
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033956 0.068846 0.120834 0.198475 0.306063 0.444730 0.631580
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032843 0.069047 0.124097 0.207497 0.324325 0.476148 0.682092
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029721 0.065617 0.121690 0.208250 0.331217 0.492723 0.713664
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025821 0.060436 0.116250 0.204296 0.331384 0.500303 0.733578
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024658 0.059955 0.118038 0.210924 0.346337 0.527650 0.779496
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023156 0.058693 0.118473 0.215472 0.358370 0.551184 0.820624
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021438 0.056842 0.117811 0.218266 0.367876 0.571361 0.857479
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019516 0.054378 0.115965 0.219109 0.374505 0.587630 0.889245
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020017 0.056808 0.122413 0.232942 0.400156 0.630174 0.956447
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018657 0.055282 0.122028 0.236022 0.410123 0.651249 0.995067
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.017618 0.054317 0.122529 0.240462 0.422103 0.675185 1.037708